This study highlights the climatology of rapid intensification (RI) and rapid dissipation (RD) locations during 1990–2022 and suggests that RI and RD locations over the Arabian Sea (AS) have increased during 2012–2022. The results show that several RI locations occur within or near the 300-km offshore zone, highlighting the potential importance of coastal-oceanic environmental conditions in the future. The study also highlights the performance of the Advanced Research version of the Weather Research and Forecasting (ARW-WRF) model in a two-way moving nested domain (15:3) to understand the impact of planetary boundary layer (PBL) schemes for the forecast of the extremely severe cyclonic storm (ESCS) Tauktae. The initial and lateral boundary conditions were provided by the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Final Analysis (FNL). The best-fit track data from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) were used to analyze cyclone tracks and intensities. The results indicated that the Quasi Normal Scale Elimination (QNSE) scheme and Asymmetric Convective Model version 2 (ACM2) methods performed better in forecasting the track, intensities, landfall, and rainfall. This study also examines relative humidity (RH) and horizontal wind. ACM2 exhibited the highest values for probability of detection (POD) and post-agreement (PAG) while demonstrating the lowest values for false alarm ratio (FAR) during rather heavy and heavy rainfall, indicating higher accuracy. These findings show that the accuracy of track, intensity, and structural forecasts is greatly increased when high horizontal resolution is combined with suitable planetary boundary layer techniques.

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